Future prospects for the residential door market remain fragile but modest growth is expected over the next few years, according to a new research report.

The “UK Residential Doors Market: 2011-2015” by AMA Research says 2011 will remain flat in the sector with modest growth in 2011-2015 provided modest recovery in the UK housing market is sustained.

“Material market share increases look to favour composite entrance doors mainly for reasons of strength and appearance at the expense of PVCu and aluminium, while timber for both entrance and internal doors is likely to keep its share, reflecting strong sustainability credentials,” said AMA.

Some rationalisation of market supply among door manufacturers is anticipated in 2011-12, despite the lack of consolidation last year.

The UK residential door market was worth around £550m in 2010, with internal doors accounting for 60% of sales, entrance doors 30% and patio doors at 10%.

Frame material usage varies between the internal door, external door and patio door markets. Timber continues to dominate the internal door sector, PVCu remains the leading material for external doors with an estimated 33% share, with composites and timber each having shares of around 30%.

The report says the speed, scale and timing of a recovery in the residential doors market depends on a combination of housebuilding growth, rising consumer confidence and spending on home improvements, offsetting the inevitable decline in the social housing replacement market.